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Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Yes 2.9%

Vol5.54 contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 2.9%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Part of: Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

YesYes Price

2.9¢

VolTotal Volume

5.54 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 20, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Yes

2.9¢

Vol

5.54 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes2.9¢

No97.1¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 2.9%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Markwayne Mullin be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 20, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Markwayne Mullin is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being removed from office) after Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs for any person.

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Resolution Info