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Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes 36.0%

Vol714 contracts

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 36.0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveEconomics

Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?

YesYes Price

36.0¢

VolTotal Volume

714 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes

36.0¢

Vol

714 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes36.0¢

No64.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 36.0%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will it be reported by the Federal Register that a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 before Jan 1, 2028? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying restriction is an additional duty above 0%, tariff-rate quota, absolute quota, or other binding quantitative import limit. Coverage through a successor or broader provision qualifies only if it fully encompasses the target line. Country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, and other generally applicable conditions do not disqualify coverage, but coverage limited to a product or end-use subset of the line does. The restriction must take effect; merely signing or issuing an instrument with a later effective date does not qualify until that date. Only reporting from the Federal Register qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info