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Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?

Yes 17.0%

Vol6.0K contracts

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 17.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?

Part of: Midterms: which party wins men?

YesYes Price

17.0¢

VolTotal Volume

6.0K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 4, 2027, 5:00 PM UTC

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Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll?

Yes

17.0¢

Vol

6.0K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes17.0¢

No83.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 17.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Republicans win independents in the exit poll? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 4, 2027, 5:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Republican Party wins independents in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, a party “wins” independents if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes. CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the applicable exit-poll result is available under the source hierarchy described in Additional Details.

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Resolution Info