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Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?

Yes 71.5%

Vol30.02 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

Yes 71.5%

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Event

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Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?

Part of: France credit rating downgrade in 2026?

YesYes Price

71.5¢

VolTotal Volume

30.02 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?

Yes

71.5¢

Vol

30.02 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes71.5¢

No28.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 71.5%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If a downgrade by Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch, of France’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign issuer rating is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying downgrade is a reduction of at least one notch in France’s long-term foreign-currency issuer rating (Moody’s), sovereign credit rating (S&P), or Issuer Default Rating (Fitch), relative to that agency’s immediately preceding rating. Both the downgrade announcement and confirmation by at least one of the Source Agencies must occur during the market period. Scheduled and unscheduled downgrades count; a subsequent upgrade does not negate a downgrade. Outlook changes, watch/review placements, withdrawals, and changes solely to short-term or individual debt-instrument ratings do not count. Ratings of entities other than the Republic of France are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info