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Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?

Yes 90.3%

Vol885.0K contracts

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 90.3%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?

Part of: How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

YesYes Price

90.3¢

VolTotal Volume

885.0K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 21, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?

Yes

90.3¢

Vol

885.0K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes90.3¢

No9.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 90.3%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 21, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if an Acquisition of Greenland occurs with a reported Total Monetary Consideration.

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Resolution Info