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Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes 50.5%

Vol598.86 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 50.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

Part of: When will the Knesset approve a new government?

YesYes Price

50.5¢

VolTotal Volume

598.86 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes

50.5¢

Vol

598.86 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes50.5¢

No49.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 50.5%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence qualifies. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without the Knesset having approved a new government, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.

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Resolution Info