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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

Yes 41.0%

Vol51.61 contracts

SnapshotOct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 41.0%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

Part of: Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory

YesYes Price

41.0¢

VolTotal Volume

51.61 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

Yes

41.0¢

Vol

51.61 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes41.0¢

No59.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 41.0%. Snapshot Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info