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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus?

Yes 34.5%

Vol489.66 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 34.5%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus?

Part of: Iowa Republican presidential caucus winner?

YesYes Price

34.5¢

VolTotal Volume

489.66 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 7, 2028, 10:00 AM UTC

Trade on Kalshi

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus?

Yes

34.5¢

Vol

489.66 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes34.5¢

No65.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 34.5%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Iowa Republican caucus? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 10:00 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucus, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Iowa (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, not delegates or state delegate equivalents, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If no statewide primary or caucus allocates delegates or reports a statewide vote count, there is no winner. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info