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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?

Yes 50.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 50.0%

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Event

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?

Part of: When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

YesYes Price

50.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 8, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026?

Yes

50.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes50.0¢

No50.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 50.0%. Snapshot Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Nov 1, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 8, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Russian-origin diesel fuel is diesel fuel produced in Russia. Diesel fuel refined in another country from Russian crude oil is not Russian-origin diesel fuel. Diesel fuel is imported into the United States when it is physically delivered to a U.S. port, or otherwise into U.S. territory, for commercial or government use within the United States. Whether the import is made under the October 9, 2026 agreement between the United States and Russia, General License 135 or any other authorization does not matter. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: A purchase, contract, loading or voyage of Russian-origin diesel fuel to the United States, before it is actually delivered Diesel fuel carried as a vessel's own fuel Diesel fuel held in bond for re-export or passing through the United States in transit to another country An announcement, agreement or license permitting imports, before diesel fuel is actually delivered Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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