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Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?

Yes 48.5%

Vol450 contracts

SnapshotNov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 48.5%

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Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?

MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?

Part of: How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?

YesYes Price

48.5¢

|

VolTotal Volume

450 contracts

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Apr 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

Apr 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?

Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?

Yes

48.5¢

|

Vol

450 contracts

|

Outcomes

2

Yes48.5¢

No51.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 48.5%. Snapshot Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Schumer get at least 44 votes on the first Senate leader ballot? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market details

Status: active
Listed close: Apr 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Created: Not provided
Reported volume: 450 contracts
Price snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

The listed close is not a settlement guarantee. Check the provider for current prices before trading.

How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?

How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Apr 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on the first ballot in the Senate Democratic caucus election for its leader for the 120th Congress is at least 44 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The first ballot is the first ballot held by the Senate Democratic caucus to elect its leader for the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer on it, as reported by a Source Agency. If the caucus elects Chuck Schumer its leader without a ballot (for example by acclamation, voice vote or unanimous consent), the count is the number of senators and senators-elect in the Senate Democratic caucus, including independents who caucus with Democrats. A report that Chuck Schumer was elected unanimously that gives no number and does not say a ballot was held counts as an election without a ballot, unless a Source Agency reports that a ballot was held. The count is 0 if no ballot is held before Jan 3, 2027 and Chuck Schumer is not elected without one. If Chuck Schumer withdraws, the count is the number of votes cast for him on the first ballot, and 0 if none were cast. Only an exact number reported by a Source Agency counts; a range, a margin or an approximate number does not. If a ballot is held but no Source Agency reports the number of votes cast for Chuck Schumer by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to the last fair price as solely determined by the Exchange. If Source Agencies report different counts, the count reported by the Source Agency listed first is used. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Chuck Schumer on a later ballot A motion or voice vote after a ballot to make the result unanimous Votes cast for any other candidate, or abstentions Early close condition: This market will close and expire early once the Senate Democratic caucus has elected its leader for the 120th Congress.

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