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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI
How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?
How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?
Vol

K 4.5K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

8

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 24 at 91.5%.

Kalshi

  1. At least 2491.5%
  2. At least 2891%
  3. At least 3684.5%
  4. At least 3284%
  5. At least 4062.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 4.5K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?

How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?

K 3.7K contracts
Will Van Hollen get at least 8 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 86%
Will Van Hollen get at least 12 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 81.5%
Will Van Hollen get at least 16 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

K 35.1K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 93.5%
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 90.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 89%
+30 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

K 35.2K contracts
Will Jeffries get at least 240 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 93.5%
Will Jeffries get at least 246 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 84.5%
Will Jeffries get at least 243 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?

How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?

PM $34.9K
255-259 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes 27.5%
250-254 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes 17.5%
245-249 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $177.64M · K 3.98M contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 97%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

351 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

K 17.3K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 95.5%
Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 92.5%
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 83.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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