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Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes 1.5%

Vol115 contracts

SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 1.5%

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Event

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Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Part of: Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?

YesYes Price

1.5¢

VolTotal Volume

115 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Apr 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes

1.5¢

Vol

115 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes1.5¢

No98.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 1.5%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Ken Paxton's Senate margin minus Greg Abbott's governor margin be at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? · Yes

No historical data available

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Apr 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election is at least 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

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Resolution Info