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Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes 19.5%

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SnapshotOct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 19.5%

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Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Part of: Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?

YesYes Price

19.5¢

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Apr 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Yes

19.5¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes19.5¢

No80.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 19.5%. Snapshot Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Apr 29, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

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