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Will U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?

Yes 7.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 17, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 7.0%

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Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveSports

Will U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?

Part of: Will wages beat inflation in 2026?

YesYes Price

7.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 20, 2027, 1:30 PM UTC

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Will U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?

Yes

7.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes7.0¢

No93.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 7.0%. Snapshot Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 20, 2027, 1:30 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the seasonally adjusted 12-month percent change in U.S. real average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for December 2026 is strictly above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in real average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls from December 2025 to December 2026, as reported in BLS’s Real Earnings release for December 2026. This measure adjusts hourly earnings for inflation using CPI-U. The first published percentage change will be used, including if designated preliminary, at the precision reported by BLS. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. A reported change of 0.0% or less resolves No. The market measures December-to-December growth, not the change in annual averages. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Resolution Info