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Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

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Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

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Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

Part of: Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 8, 2029

in about 2 years

Trade on Kalshi

Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.6¢

No99.4¢

Price History

Will Apple achieve the superior outcome in its OpenAI case?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

819 Days Left

January 08, 2029 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?

Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 08, 2029

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If Apple Inc. has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of Apple v. OpenAI, No. 5:26-cv-07078 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the case is Apple Inc. v. Chang Liu, Tang Yew Tan, OpenAI Foundation f/k/a OpenAI, Inc., OpenAI Group PBC, and io Products, LLC f/k/a io Products, Inc., U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California No. 5:26-cv-07078-EJD. Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy: Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if it receives a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Apple Inc.). Attorney's fees and costs are excluded. Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if it prevails on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in its original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal or unclear, on the greater number of primary causes of action. Case Termination Advantage (Third Priority): If the case terminates without substantive judgment, Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if opposing parties voluntarily dismiss all claims against Apple Inc. with prejudice. All other termination scenarios result in no superior outcome for any party. Settlements: Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if the parties settle with a disclosed net payment to Apple Inc. Apple Inc. does not achieve the superior outcome if the parties settle with a disclosed net payment from Apple Inc. to opposing parties. No party achieves a superior outcome if the parties settle with mutual releases and no disclosed payment direction, or if settlement terms are sealed and no Source Agency reports payment direction within seven days of the settlement announcement. Key exclusions: Applies only to trial-level resolution and specifically excludes all appeals processes. Procedural victories alone do not constitute superior outcomes. A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or expedited-discovery order is not a final trial-level resolution. A denial, partial ruling, or dismissal that leaves claims pending on a motion to dismiss is not final; a final dismissal terminating the entire trial-level action is evaluated under the hierarchy above. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.