Resolution Criteria
If any New York State court invalidates, annuls, or enjoins Nikki Lucas's election as chair of the Brooklyn Democratic Party, including by ordering a new election for that office or barring her from serving or acting as chair, in the Kings County Supreme Court litigation over the Brooklyn Democratic Party's leadership, any appeal of that litigation, or any other action challenging Lucas's election as chair before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must:
Be issued by any New York State court in the Kings County Supreme Court litigation over the Brooklyn Democratic Party's leadership, any appeal of that litigation, or any other action challenging Lucas's election as chair
Address the matter described by the specified judgment
Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
Partial relief counts. A written temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or stay whose operative terms bar Nikki Lucas from serving or acting as chair, or bar the Brooklyn Democratic Party from recognizing her as chair, qualifies even if it is interim or limited in scope.
A ruling that only voids the party's rule amendments or only decides who holds interim authority does not qualify unless it also invalidates or enjoins Lucas's election or service as chair. A written ruling that declares the Oct. 4, 2026 executive committee vote void or without effect, or that recognizes another person as the lawful chair for the same term, counts as invalidating Lucas's election. A qualifying ruling counts when issued, even if it is later stayed, vacated, or reversed.
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order
Tentative rulings that are not made final
Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued
Settlements or voluntary dismissals
Administrative or scheduling orders
Orders to show cause
Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
For clarity:
If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction
Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment
Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings
If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
