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Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2029?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event

MarketKALSHIactive

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2029?

Part of: Will China unban Bitcoin?

NoNo Price

100¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 8, 2029

in over 2 years

Trade on Kalshi

Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2029?

100¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.1¢

No99.9¢

Price History

Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2029?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 08, 2029

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Learn more

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces a nationwide policy permitting members of the general public in mainland China to legally buy and sell Bitcoin through a government-authorized exchange, bank, broker, or other regulated trading platform before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments This market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

913 Days Left

January 08, 2029 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Event

Will China unban Bitcoin?