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Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

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Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

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Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2028

in over 1 year

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Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.6¢

No99.4¢

Price History

Will crypto market structure legislation become law before Jan 1, 2028?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

540 Days Left

January 01, 2028 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2028

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If a crypto market structure bill become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: The Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law; The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law; Any omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above. Examples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion: The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); A bill that passes the House but not the Senate; An executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.