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Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | PredictPedia

KKALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes0%-19.8%

Vol$663.00

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

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Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

MarketKALSHIactive

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$663.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Apr 1, 2027

in about 1 year

Trade on Kalshi

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$663.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.2¢

No99.8¢

Price History

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

439 Days Left

April 01, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

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Price Alerts

Resolution Alerts

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

April 01, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

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Price Alerts

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Resolution Alerts

Ends Apr 1, 2027

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