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Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

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Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

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Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

Part of: 120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 3 months

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Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.4¢

No99.6¢

Price History

Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

81 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If Steve Scalise has announced that they will run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. House Republican leader means the top post the House Republican Conference elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Republicans win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES. This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.