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Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

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MarketKALSHIactive

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

Part of: When will the Knesset approve a new government?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 27, 2027

in 4 months

Trade on Kalshi

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.6¢

No99.4¢

Price History

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

107 Days Left

January 27, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 27, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the Knesset approves a new government in a vote of confidence before Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, a qualifying agreement or announcement must concern the Knesset's approval of a new government in a vote of confidence. Qualifying events include: Parliamentary approval with binding effect A formal commitment by the head of state or government with constitutional authority An official statement by an authorized minister An official government press release A formal declaration during official government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date, phased implementation announcements, and coalition or multi-party agreements also qualify where they constitute an agreement or announcement of the specified action. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions, negotiations, or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on specified circumstances Statements by opposition parties or unauthorized representatives Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Proposals or draft legislation without formal approval or adoption Retraction or reversal of a previously announced commitment Where the statutory mandate periods expire without a qualifying agreement or announcement having occurred, every market resolves to NO, including where that triggers a fresh election. This market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 20, 2027? | PredictPedia