If Centrist Reform Alliance finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Japan House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the total seat count, summing the seats won in single-member districts and those allocated via proportional representation. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.