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Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

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MarketKALSHIclosed

Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

MarketKALSHIclosedOther

Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

Part of: Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 4, 2026

about 1 month ago

Trade on Kalshi

Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.5¢

No99.5¢

Price History

Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

June 04, 2026 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Closed

Expected Resolution

June 04, 2026

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the National Guard is deployed to Los Angeles after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Los Angeles on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Los Angeles, not merely assigned or in transit. The following constitutes deployment and resolves YES: Governor activates Guard with deployment to Los Angeles Guard units arrive in Los Angeles on emergency orders Federal activation placing Guard in Los Angeles Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Los Angeles Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Los Angeles Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed The following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves NO: Deployment announcements without actual arrival Guard placed on standby/alert status only Units staged outside Los Angeles without entering Training exercises or routine drills Guard members traveling through Los Angeles to another destination Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders Recruitment or community relations activities Canceled deployments that never materialize Special provisions: At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Los Angeles. Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training. If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO. Presence for transit only doesn't count. Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Los Angeles counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders. Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count. Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.