KKALSHI

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

MarketKALSHIactive

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 3 months

Trade on Kalshi

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.1¢

No99.9¢

Price History

What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

85 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the National Guard is deployed to Portland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Portland on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Portland, not merely assigned or in transit. The following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**: - Governor activates Guard with deployment to Portland - Guard units arrive in Portland on emergency orders - Federal activation placing Guard in Portland - Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Portland - Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Portland - Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed The following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**: - Deployment announcements without actual arrival - Guard placed on standby/alert status only - Units staged outside Portland without entering - Training exercises or routine drills - Guard members traveling through Portland to another destination - Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment - Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians - Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders - Recruitment or community relations activities - Canceled deployments that never materialize Special provisions: - At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Portland. - Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training. - If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO. - Presence for transit only doesn't count. - Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Portland counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders. - Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count. - Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.