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Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

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Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

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Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

Part of: California governor primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

100¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 2, 2027

in 11 months

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Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

327 Days Left

June 02, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

California governor primary margin of victory?

California governor primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 02, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed. If Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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