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Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

Part of: CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

100¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 30, 2027

in 12 months

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Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?

No historical data available

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

355 Days Left

June 30, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 30, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed. If Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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