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Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

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Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

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Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

Part of: FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

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100¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Outcomes

2

Ends

Aug 18, 2027

in about 1 year

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Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

404 Days Left

August 18, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 18, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Dan Bilzerian minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Dan Bilzerian if Dan Bilzerian wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Dan Bilzerian loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Dan Bilzerian minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Dan Bilzerian if Dan Bilzerian wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Dan Bilzerian loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Dan Bilzerian minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Dan Bilzerian wins, or the electoral votes received by Dan Bilzerian minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Dan Bilzerian does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Bilzerian runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Bilzerian will be summed. If Dan Bilzerian wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Dan Bilzerian loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Dan Bilzerian ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Dan Bilzerian is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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