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Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

Part of: Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

99¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 30, 2027

in 12 months

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Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.0¢

No99.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

355 Days Left

June 30, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 30, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Phil Weiser minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Phil Weiser if Phil Weiser wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Phil Weiser loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Phil Weiser minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Phil Weiser if Phil Weiser wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Phil Weiser loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Phil Weiser minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Phil Weiser wins, or the electoral votes received by Phil Weiser minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Phil Weiser does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Phil Weiser runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Phil Weiser will be summed. If Phil Weiser wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Phil Weiser loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Phil Weiser ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Phil Weiser is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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