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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Part of: Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

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100¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Outcomes

2

Ends

Aug 4, 2027

in about 1 year

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.2¢

No99.8¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

390 Days Left

August 04, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 04, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Abdul El-Sayed runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Abdul El-Sayed will be summed. If Abdul El-Sayed wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Abdul El-Sayed loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Abdul El-Sayed ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Abdul El-Sayed is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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