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Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

Part of: NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 23, 2027

in 12 months

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Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?

No historical data available

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

348 Days Left

June 23, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?

NY-13 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 23, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Darializa Avila Chevalier if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Darializa Avila Chevalier loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins, or the electoral votes received by Darializa Avila Chevalier minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Darializa Avila Chevalier does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darializa Avila Chevalier runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Darializa Avila Chevalier will be summed. If Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Darializa Avila Chevalier loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Darializa Avila Chevalier ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Darializa Avila Chevalier is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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