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Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

Yes1%

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1%

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Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

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Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

Part of: NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

99¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jun 17, 2027

in 11 months

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Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.0¢

No99.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary be above 15%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

342 Days Left

June 17, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?

NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 17, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Claire Valdez in the 2026 NY-07 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Claire Valdez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Claire Valdez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Claire Valdez if Claire Valdez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Claire Valdez loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Claire Valdez wins, or the electoral votes received by Claire Valdez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Claire Valdez does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Claire Valdez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Claire Valdez will be summed. If Claire Valdez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Claire Valdez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Claire Valdez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Claire Valdez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.