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Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

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Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

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Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

Part of: Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

NoNo Price

100¢

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VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Outcomes

2

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Jun 27, 2027

in 12 months

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Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff be above 20%?

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

352 Days Left

June 27, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

June 27, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julia Letlow runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julia Letlow will be summed. If Julia Letlow wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julia Letlow loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julia Letlow ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julia Letlow is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.