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Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

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Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

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Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

Part of: New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Sep 8, 2027

in about 1 year

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Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.8¢

No99.2¢

Price History

Will the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary be above 20%?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

425 Days Left

September 08, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

September 08, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Sununu runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Sununu will be summed. If John Sununu wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Sununu loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Sununu ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Sununu is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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