Resolution Criteria
If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $35,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration, explicitly identified as “Starting MSRP” or “Base MSRP” on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher trims alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts.
The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, third-party prices, and prices for other model years do not qualify. If no qualifying price is published within the specified window, all markets resolve No.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Toyota. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early when the manufacturer officially publishes the qualifying U.S. starting MSRP for the specified model year.