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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

Part of: Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 31, 2027

in 7 months

Trade on Kalshi

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.2¢

No99.8¢

Price History

Will Tesla robotaxi be offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

205 Days Left

January 31, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 31, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If Tesla robotaxi service is offered to the general public in California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For "offered to": Tesla has launched a robotaxi service in California that satisfies ALL of the following criteria: The service allows members of the general public to request rides through a publicly accessible application or platform (not limited to Tesla employees, beta testers, or invite-only participants) The vehicles operate without any human driver or safety monitor physically present in the driver's seat who is actively controlling the vehicle during normal operation The service charges fares or fees for rides (free promotional rides alone do not qualify) For "removed from": Tesla has discontinued, suspended, or withdrawn a previously operational robotaxi service in California that met all the "offered to" criteria above, where: The service is no longer accepting new ride requests from the general public for any period of time as a result of a decision by Tesla to suspend operations in the area, and such suspension is not explicitly characterized as temporary (e.g., due to weather, maintenance, or system upgrades). The Payout Criterion is not satisfied by short-term service interruptions that are clearly communicated as temporary or expected to resume. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: If a government orders Tesla to cease ongoing services but they do not comply, then the market does not resolve to Yes Services limited to Tesla employees, contractors, or their guests Beta tests, pilot programs, or demonstrations Services requiring special invitations, access codes, or pre-approval to use Vehicles with human safety drivers, monitors, or operators in any seat of the vehicle who can take control Temporary suspensions due to weather or technical issues Services operating only with remote human teleoperators controlling each vehicle continuously Test fleets that are not charging fares to the general public Announcements of future launches without actual operational service This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.