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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights

Yes1%

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights

Part of: Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights

99¢

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$0.00

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Yes0.9¢

No99.1¢

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that Williamson County’s land-use finality requirement does not displace the First Amendment’s chilling-effect doctrine when a plaintiff alleges that credible government threats before and after a Planning Commission meeting chilled religious exercise, worship, or assembly, such that the claim is not barred solely because the plaintiff lacked a final land-use decision, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the finality requirement displaces or bars such a claim, or if the case is dismissed, dismissed as improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving that merits question. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?

Event

Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?