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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe

Part of: Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.7¢

No99.3¢

Price History

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in Nielsen v. Watanabe, rules Watanabe may not pursue a Bivens damages claim against Nielsen for allegedly inadequate medical care, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing a Bivens cause of action for Watanabe’s claim against Nielsen, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the Ninth Circuit did not err, dismisses the case, finds certiorari improvidently granted, or vacates or remands without deciding whether the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing the Bivens cause of action. A remand accompanied by a merits holding that the Ninth Circuit did err resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?

Event

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?