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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy

Part of: Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

Trade on Kalshi

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.8¢

No99.2¢

Price History

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of St. Mary Catholic Parish in Littleton in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy, rules either that establishing a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v. Smith does not require unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct, or that Carson v. Makin can displace Smith without an explicit exclusion of religious people or institutions, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in St. Mary Catholic Parish v. Roy, either that proving a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v. Smith does not require unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct, or that Carson v. Makin may displace Smith even when the government has not explicitly excluded religious people or institutions, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A merits ruling establishing either proposition is sufficient, even if the Court does not reach the other question. The market resolves to No if the Court establishes neither proposition, or if the case is dismissed, settled, DIG’d, or remanded without a merits ruling establishing either proposition. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

Event

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?