KKALSHI

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

MarketKALSHIactive

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 7, 2028

in about 1 year

Trade on Kalshi

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

456 Days Left

January 07, 2028 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 07, 2028

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If **ALL** of the following occur: 1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026 then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: - "Will Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026?" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms?" uses CONTROL - "Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive)?" uses LGDP - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stay below 5% in 2026?" uses ECONSTAT For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period. Additional specifications: POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - the threshold need only be met once during the period; CONTROL - based on the Speaker of the House and President Pro Tempore of the Senate on Feb 1, 2027; LGDP - based on real GDP, quarter-over-quarter percent change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates (SAAR) This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.