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Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

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MarketKALSHIactive

Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

Part of: Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2027

in over 1 year

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Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.5¢

No99.5¢

Price History

Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

481 Days Left

November 03, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, any candidate that is not officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered independent or third party, regardless of whether they join a party’s caucus or conference after the election. For example, Senator Bernie Sanders would be considered an independent candidate. Third party or independent candidates who accept the endorsement of the Democratic or Republican party will still count if they are not officially affiliated or do not explicitly represent either of the two major parties. However, candidates that are officially affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties will NOT count, even if they have the formal support of other third parties (such as the Working Families or Conservative parties in New York). The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction. In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails. The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first. Repeated postponements count towards the 2-year deadline. If results are annulled by a court/authority AFTER announcement but BEFORE the winner takes office, the Contract remains open until re-run election or expiration. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.