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ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

Yes20%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

20%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

Part of: ChatGPT Outage by...?

NoNo Price

81¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 16, 2026

in 3 days

Trade on Polymarket

ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

No

81¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes19.5¢

No80.5¢

Price History

ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

2 Days Left

October 16, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 16, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.