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Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

Yes7%-5.5%

Vol$963.07

Outcomes2

7%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

Part of: Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

NoNo Price

93¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$963.07

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jul 1, 2027

in 9 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

No

93¢

|

Vol

$963.07

|

Outcomes

2

Yes7.0¢

No93.0¢

Price History

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

262 Days Left

July 01, 2027 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

July 01, 2027

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Fable model (5.2+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies. If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.