Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Did Al Warda blow up?
Part of: Which hedge fund blew up?NoNo Price
96¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$4.96K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
May 15, 2026
in 2 monthsDid Al Warda blow up?
No
96¢
|
Vol
$4.96K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes4.3¢
No95.7¢
Price History
Did Al Warda blow up?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
May 15, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed fund shows $IBIT (https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf) holdings of below $10,000,000 US in either Q1 2026 on their 13F filing (https://www.sec.gov/submit-filings/forms-index) when that information is made public. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a relevant 13F is unavailable for a listed company by May 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from the 13F for a specified company.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
74 Days Left
May 15, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago