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Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Yes 5.3%

Vol$33.8K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 5.3%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Part of: Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

YesYes Price

5.3¢

VolTotal Volume

$33.8K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Yes

5.3¢

Vol

$33.8K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.3¢

No94.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.3%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration. Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify. Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info