Yes1%-0.1%
Vol$247.02K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Part of: Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?NoNo Price
99¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$247.02K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 monthsFact Check: Maduro capture staged?
No
99¢
|
Vol
$247.02K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes1.3¢
No98.8¢
Price History
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
March 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
73 Days Left
March 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago