PPOLYMARKET

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

Yes0%-7.2%

Vol$6.94K

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETclosed

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

MarketPOLYMARKETclosedScience

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$6.94K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Apr 30, 2026

2 months ago

Trade on Polymarket

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$6.94K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

April 30, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Closed

Expected Resolution

April 30, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib) as a treatment for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (PTEN-deficient) by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs The following do not constitute qualifying approvals: Approvable letters that require additional actions before approval Tentative approvals pending patent or exclusivity expiration FDA requests for additional information or studies Extension of Prescription Drug User Fee Amendments dates Approval for compassionate use or expanded access programs only Approval only for export or for use outside the United States Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) without full approval Complete Response Letters (CRLs) indicating the application cannot be approved in its current form This market will immediately resolve to "No" if the FDA issues a Complete Response Letter (CRL) or explicitly declines to approve the application. If the drug sponsor withdraws the application before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "No" immediately. If the listed drug is approved before the end of the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of potential Advisory Committee votes against approval or later withdrawal of approval. Conditional approvals may include post-marketing requirements or commitments and still qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the FDA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.