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GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

Yes50%-0.5%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

50%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

Part of: GitHub.com critical incident by...?

NoNo Price

51¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 17, 2026

in 5 days

Trade on Polymarket

GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

No

51¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes49.5¢

No50.5¢

Price History

GitHub.com critical incident by October 16, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

5 Days Left

October 17, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 17, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub.com experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as "critical," unless its affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. "Degraded Performance," "Partial Outage," or "Major Outage") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident. Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time. Incidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.