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Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026

Yes 14.0%

Vol$18

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 14.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026

Part of: How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

YesYes Price

14.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$18

Outcomes

Ends

Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026

Yes

14.0¢

Vol

$18

Outcomes

Trade

Yes14.0¢

No86.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 14.0%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026 · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

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Resolution Info