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Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Yes 9.5%

Vol$8

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 9.5%

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Event

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Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Part of: Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

YesYes Price

9.5¢

VolTotal Volume

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Yes

9.5¢

Vol

Outcomes

Trade

Yes9.5¢

No90.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 9.5%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”). The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc. The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

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