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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

Yes0%-4.3%

Vol$606.64

Outcomes2

0%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

Part of: Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$606.64

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 12, 2026

in about 4 hours

Trade on Polymarket

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$606.64

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.3¢

No99.8¢

Price History

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Resolves Today

October 12, 2026 • 12:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 12, 2026

12:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.